Tournament Odds

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Sunday, 11 March 2012 19:58

Odds of Winning" 2011-12 NCAA Tournament
Basketball Tournament.

Here are the projected odds of winning this year's NCAA Men's basketball tournament.
The odds are projected using www.natonalsportsrankings.com power rankings with the actual brackets.

UPDATED with Sweet 16 odds

 

Sweet 16 Winning Winning Winning Winning
Bracket Results RD 16 RD 8 Final Four Championship





Indiana 19.28% 8.87% 3.36% 0.97%
Kentucky 80.72% 62.40% 44.26% 27.16%
Xavier 32.63% 6.40% 1.96% 0.44%
Baylor 67.37% 22.34% 10.62% 3.98%
Louisville 41.55% 22.17% 8.48% 3.24%
Michigan St 58.45% 36.07% 16.59% 7.70%
Marquette 47.59% 19.28% 6.59% 2.24%
Florida 52.41% 22.47% 8.15% 2.95%
Syracuse 66.40% 30.07% 13.49% 6.15%
Wisconsin 33.60% 10.16% 2.99% 0.91%
Cincinnati 20.00% 6.83% 1.72% 0.45%
Ohio St 80.00% 52.94% 29.58% 16.68%
Ohio U 10.93% 1.85% 0.28% 0.04%
N Carolina 89.07% 52.79% 29.74% 16.25%
Kansas 70.60% 36.07% 19.15% 9.86%
Nc State 29.40% 9.29% 3.06% 0.97%

 

NOTE: I've projected the winners from the play-in games. If anyone would like to see how it would look any other way, let me know.

 



Mid West
(Get to 16) (Get to 8) (Get to 4) (Get to 2) (Win it ALL)



Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning
Seed

RD 1 RD 2 Semi 16 32 64









11
Nc State 56.73% 22.34% 6.22% 2.11% 0.64% 0.16%
6
San Diego St 43.27% 14.31% 3.27% 0.93% 0.23% 0.05%
14
Belmont 56.75% 37.52% 14.80% 6.85% 2.90% 1.08%
3
Georgetown 43.25% 25.83% 8.65% 3.47% 1.25% 0.39%
10
Purdue 67.07% 22.24% 12.24% 5.37% 2.15% 0.75%
7
St Marys-Ca 32.93% 6.60% 2.50% 0.72% 0.18% 0.04%
15
Detroit 11.56% 3.74% 1.18% 0.28% 0.06% 0.01%
2
Kansas 88.44% 67.42% 51.13% 33.34% 20.59% 11.71%
12
California 50.46% 26.82% 9.17% 3.13% 1.05% 0.30%
5
Temple 49.54% 26.11% 8.82% 2.98% 0.98% 0.28%
13
Ohio U 30.33% 10.05% 2.10% 0.43% 0.09% 0.01%
4
Michigan 69.67% 37.02% 13.58% 4.98% 1.79% 0.56%
9
Alabama 40.43% 8.64% 3.42% 0.85% 0.21% 0.04%
8
Creighton 59.57% 16.90% 8.28% 2.70% 0.86% 0.24%
16
Lamar 11.29% 3.97% 1.23% 0.23% 0.04% 0.01%
1
N Carolina 88.71% 70.48% 53.40% 31.64% 18.60% 9.99%





























East
(Get to 16) (Get to 8) (Get to 4) (Get to 2) (Win it ALL)



Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning
Seed

RD 1 RD 2 Semi 16 32 64









11
Texas 54.15% 28.48% 8.92% 3.73% 1.24% 0.37%
6
Cincinnati 45.85% 22.24% 6.24% 2.37% 0.70% 0.19%
14
St Bonaventure 33.80% 12.97% 2.75% 0.81% 0.18% 0.04%
3
Florida St 66.20% 36.31% 12.26% 5.48% 1.96% 0.64%
10
W Virginia 45.37% 9.38% 4.05% 1.37% 0.36% 0.08%
7
Gonzaga 54.63% 13.02% 6.21% 2.37% 0.71% 0.19%
15
Loyola-Md 7.68% 2.30% 0.61% 0.12% 0.02% 0.00%
2
Ohio St 92.32% 75.30% 58.97% 41.26% 25.10% 14.46%
12
Harvard 31.16% 16.03% 5.64% 1.65% 0.46% 0.11%
5
Vanderbilt 68.84% 47.98% 25.76% 11.91% 5.33% 2.20%
13
Montana 32.04% 7.99% 1.89% 0.36% 0.06% 0.01%
4
Wisconsin 67.96% 28.00% 10.99% 3.61% 1.13% 0.31%
9
Southern Miss 28.33% 7.05% 2.17% 0.46% 0.09% 0.01%
8
Kansas St 71.67% 31.64% 16.44% 6.42% 2.40% 0.82%
16
Unc-Asheville 13.37% 3.49% 0.80% 0.12% 0.02% 0.00%
1
Syracuse 86.63% 57.82% 36.31% 17.95% 8.62% 3.84%





























West
(Get to 16) (Get to 8) (Get to 4) (Get to 2) (Win it ALL)



Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning
Seed

RD 1 RD 2 Semi 16 32 64









11
Colorado St 57.19% 15.17% 2.28% 0.45% 0.08% 0.01%
6
Murray St 42.81% 9.02% 1.03% 0.16% 0.02% 0.00%
14
Iona 33.02% 21.90% 5.22% 1.57% 0.43% 0.11%
3
Marquette 66.98% 53.91% 20.67% 9.56% 4.03% 1.62%
10
Virginia 32.44% 5.33% 2.14% 0.56% 0.13% 0.03%
7
Florida 67.56% 19.84% 11.34% 4.79% 1.83% 0.67%
15
Norfolk St 2.24% 0.24% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
2
Missouri 97.76% 74.59% 57.30% 37.00% 22.20% 12.94%
12
Long Beach St 29.64% 10.12% 2.24% 0.51% 0.11% 0.02%
5
New Mexico 70.36% 38.12% 15.37% 6.15% 2.45% 0.93%
13
Davidson 26.32% 8.97% 1.87% 0.40% 0.08% 0.02%
4
Louisville 73.68% 42.79% 18.14% 7.60% 3.18% 1.27%
9
Saint Louis 41.20% 14.24% 7.05% 2.59% 0.95% 0.33%
8
Memphis 58.80% 25.05% 14.56% 6.52% 2.91% 1.24%
16
Long Island 5.45% 0.58% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
1
Michigan St 94.55% 60.14% 40.68% 22.15% 12.04% 6.32%





























South
(Get to 16) (Get to 8) (Get to 4) (Get to 2) (Win it ALL)



Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning Winning
Seed

RD 1 RD 2 Semi 16 32 64









11
Colorado 23.59% 5.92% 1.84% 0.28% 0.05% 0.01%
6
Unlv 76.41% 38.43% 22.29% 8.04% 3.07% 1.13%
14
S Dakota St 20.19% 6.27% 2.02% 0.33% 0.06% 0.01%
3
Baylor 79.81% 49.38% 31.42% 13.04% 5.72% 2.43%
10
Xavier 52.97% 21.33% 7.63% 1.82% 0.46% 0.11%
7
Notre Dame 47.03% 17.66% 5.85% 1.27% 0.29% 0.06%
15
Lehigh 25.65% 10.80% 3.00% 0.53% 0.10% 0.02%
2
Duke 74.35% 50.21% 25.94% 9.71% 3.84% 1.47%
12
Va Commonwealth 29.98% 13.16% 2.73% 1.01% 0.26% 0.06%
5
Wichita St 70.02% 44.81% 16.69% 9.54% 4.16% 1.75%
13
New Mexico St 31.67% 9.51% 1.57% 0.49% 0.10% 0.02%
4
Indiana 68.33% 32.53% 9.71% 4.73% 1.68% 0.58%
9
Connecticut 47.34% 10.00% 4.49% 1.98% 0.62% 0.19%
8
Iowa St 52.66% 12.11% 5.75% 2.69% 0.91% 0.29%
16
W Kentucky 2.30% 0.28% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
1
Kentucky 97.70% 77.62% 59.03% 44.54% 28.25% 17.50%

Last Updated on Monday, 19 March 2012 17:03
 

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