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Odds of Winning" 2011-12 NCAA Tournament
Basketball Tournament.
Here are the projected odds of winning this year's NCAA Men's basketball tournament.
The odds are projected using www.natonalsportsrankings.com power rankings with the actual brackets.
UPDATED with Sweet 16 odds
| Sweet 16 |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
| Bracket Results |
RD 16 |
RD 8 |
Final Four |
Championship |
|
|
|
|
|
| Indiana |
19.28% |
8.87% |
3.36% |
0.97% |
| Kentucky |
80.72% |
62.40% |
44.26% |
27.16% |
| Xavier |
32.63% |
6.40% |
1.96% |
0.44% |
| Baylor |
67.37% |
22.34% |
10.62% |
3.98% |
| Louisville |
41.55% |
22.17% |
8.48% |
3.24% |
| Michigan St |
58.45% |
36.07% |
16.59% |
7.70% |
| Marquette |
47.59% |
19.28% |
6.59% |
2.24% |
| Florida |
52.41% |
22.47% |
8.15% |
2.95% |
| Syracuse |
66.40% |
30.07% |
13.49% |
6.15% |
| Wisconsin |
33.60% |
10.16% |
2.99% |
0.91% |
| Cincinnati |
20.00% |
6.83% |
1.72% |
0.45% |
| Ohio St |
80.00% |
52.94% |
29.58% |
16.68% |
| Ohio U |
10.93% |
1.85% |
0.28% |
0.04% |
| N Carolina |
89.07% |
52.79% |
29.74% |
16.25% |
| Kansas |
70.60% |
36.07% |
19.15% |
9.86% |
| Nc State |
29.40% |
9.29% |
3.06% |
0.97% |
NOTE: I've projected the winners from the play-in games. If anyone would like to see how it would look any other way, let me know.
|
|
Mid West |
|
(Get to 16) |
(Get to 8) |
(Get to 4) |
(Get to 2) |
(Win it ALL) |
|
|
|
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
| Seed |
|
|
RD 1 |
RD 2 |
Semi |
16 |
32 |
64 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 11 |
|
Nc State |
56.73% |
22.34% |
6.22% |
2.11% |
0.64% |
0.16% |
| 6 |
|
San Diego St |
43.27% |
14.31% |
3.27% |
0.93% |
0.23% |
0.05% |
| 14 |
|
Belmont |
56.75% |
37.52% |
14.80% |
6.85% |
2.90% |
1.08% |
| 3 |
|
Georgetown |
43.25% |
25.83% |
8.65% |
3.47% |
1.25% |
0.39% |
| 10 |
|
Purdue |
67.07% |
22.24% |
12.24% |
5.37% |
2.15% |
0.75% |
| 7 |
|
St Marys-Ca |
32.93% |
6.60% |
2.50% |
0.72% |
0.18% |
0.04% |
| 15 |
|
Detroit |
11.56% |
3.74% |
1.18% |
0.28% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 2 |
|
Kansas |
88.44% |
67.42% |
51.13% |
33.34% |
20.59% |
11.71% |
| 12 |
|
California |
50.46% |
26.82% |
9.17% |
3.13% |
1.05% |
0.30% |
| 5 |
|
Temple |
49.54% |
26.11% |
8.82% |
2.98% |
0.98% |
0.28% |
| 13 |
|
Ohio U |
30.33% |
10.05% |
2.10% |
0.43% |
0.09% |
0.01% |
| 4 |
|
Michigan |
69.67% |
37.02% |
13.58% |
4.98% |
1.79% |
0.56% |
| 9 |
|
Alabama |
40.43% |
8.64% |
3.42% |
0.85% |
0.21% |
0.04% |
| 8 |
|
Creighton |
59.57% |
16.90% |
8.28% |
2.70% |
0.86% |
0.24% |
| 16 |
|
Lamar |
11.29% |
3.97% |
1.23% |
0.23% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 1 |
|
N Carolina |
88.71% |
70.48% |
53.40% |
31.64% |
18.60% |
9.99% |
|
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East |
|
(Get to 16) |
(Get to 8) |
(Get to 4) |
(Get to 2) |
(Win it ALL) |
|
|
|
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
| Seed |
|
|
RD 1 |
RD 2 |
Semi |
16 |
32 |
64 |
|
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|
|
|
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|
| 11 |
|
Texas |
54.15% |
28.48% |
8.92% |
3.73% |
1.24% |
0.37% |
| 6 |
|
Cincinnati |
45.85% |
22.24% |
6.24% |
2.37% |
0.70% |
0.19% |
| 14 |
|
St Bonaventure |
33.80% |
12.97% |
2.75% |
0.81% |
0.18% |
0.04% |
| 3 |
|
Florida St |
66.20% |
36.31% |
12.26% |
5.48% |
1.96% |
0.64% |
| 10 |
|
W Virginia |
45.37% |
9.38% |
4.05% |
1.37% |
0.36% |
0.08% |
| 7 |
|
Gonzaga |
54.63% |
13.02% |
6.21% |
2.37% |
0.71% |
0.19% |
| 15 |
|
Loyola-Md |
7.68% |
2.30% |
0.61% |
0.12% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 2 |
|
Ohio St |
92.32% |
75.30% |
58.97% |
41.26% |
25.10% |
14.46% |
| 12 |
|
Harvard |
31.16% |
16.03% |
5.64% |
1.65% |
0.46% |
0.11% |
| 5 |
|
Vanderbilt |
68.84% |
47.98% |
25.76% |
11.91% |
5.33% |
2.20% |
| 13 |
|
Montana |
32.04% |
7.99% |
1.89% |
0.36% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 4 |
|
Wisconsin |
67.96% |
28.00% |
10.99% |
3.61% |
1.13% |
0.31% |
| 9 |
|
Southern Miss |
28.33% |
7.05% |
2.17% |
0.46% |
0.09% |
0.01% |
| 8 |
|
Kansas St |
71.67% |
31.64% |
16.44% |
6.42% |
2.40% |
0.82% |
| 16 |
|
Unc-Asheville |
13.37% |
3.49% |
0.80% |
0.12% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 1 |
|
Syracuse |
86.63% |
57.82% |
36.31% |
17.95% |
8.62% |
3.84% |
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West |
|
(Get to 16) |
(Get to 8) |
(Get to 4) |
(Get to 2) |
(Win it ALL) |
|
|
|
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
| Seed |
|
|
RD 1 |
RD 2 |
Semi |
16 |
32 |
64 |
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| 11 |
|
Colorado St |
57.19% |
15.17% |
2.28% |
0.45% |
0.08% |
0.01% |
| 6 |
|
Murray St |
42.81% |
9.02% |
1.03% |
0.16% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 14 |
|
Iona |
33.02% |
21.90% |
5.22% |
1.57% |
0.43% |
0.11% |
| 3 |
|
Marquette |
66.98% |
53.91% |
20.67% |
9.56% |
4.03% |
1.62% |
| 10 |
|
Virginia |
32.44% |
5.33% |
2.14% |
0.56% |
0.13% |
0.03% |
| 7 |
|
Florida |
67.56% |
19.84% |
11.34% |
4.79% |
1.83% |
0.67% |
| 15 |
|
Norfolk St |
2.24% |
0.24% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 2 |
|
Missouri |
97.76% |
74.59% |
57.30% |
37.00% |
22.20% |
12.94% |
| 12 |
|
Long Beach St |
29.64% |
10.12% |
2.24% |
0.51% |
0.11% |
0.02% |
| 5 |
|
New Mexico |
70.36% |
38.12% |
15.37% |
6.15% |
2.45% |
0.93% |
| 13 |
|
Davidson |
26.32% |
8.97% |
1.87% |
0.40% |
0.08% |
0.02% |
| 4 |
|
Louisville |
73.68% |
42.79% |
18.14% |
7.60% |
3.18% |
1.27% |
| 9 |
|
Saint Louis |
41.20% |
14.24% |
7.05% |
2.59% |
0.95% |
0.33% |
| 8 |
|
Memphis |
58.80% |
25.05% |
14.56% |
6.52% |
2.91% |
1.24% |
| 16 |
|
Long Island |
5.45% |
0.58% |
0.08% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 1 |
|
Michigan St |
94.55% |
60.14% |
40.68% |
22.15% |
12.04% |
6.32% |
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South |
|
(Get to 16) |
(Get to 8) |
(Get to 4) |
(Get to 2) |
(Win it ALL) |
|
|
|
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
Winning |
| Seed |
|
|
RD 1 |
RD 2 |
Semi |
16 |
32 |
64 |
|
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| 11 |
|
Colorado |
23.59% |
5.92% |
1.84% |
0.28% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 6 |
|
Unlv |
76.41% |
38.43% |
22.29% |
8.04% |
3.07% |
1.13% |
| 14 |
|
S Dakota St |
20.19% |
6.27% |
2.02% |
0.33% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 3 |
|
Baylor |
79.81% |
49.38% |
31.42% |
13.04% |
5.72% |
2.43% |
| 10 |
|
Xavier |
52.97% |
21.33% |
7.63% |
1.82% |
0.46% |
0.11% |
| 7 |
|
Notre Dame |
47.03% |
17.66% |
5.85% |
1.27% |
0.29% |
0.06% |
| 15 |
|
Lehigh |
25.65% |
10.80% |
3.00% |
0.53% |
0.10% |
0.02% |
| 2 |
|
Duke |
74.35% |
50.21% |
25.94% |
9.71% |
3.84% |
1.47% |
| 12 |
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Va Commonwealth |
29.98% |
13.16% |
2.73% |
1.01% |
0.26% |
0.06% |
| 5 |
|
Wichita St |
70.02% |
44.81% |
16.69% |
9.54% |
4.16% |
1.75% |
| 13 |
|
New Mexico St |
31.67% |
9.51% |
1.57% |
0.49% |
0.10% |
0.02% |
| 4 |
|
Indiana |
68.33% |
32.53% |
9.71% |
4.73% |
1.68% |
0.58% |
| 9 |
|
Connecticut |
47.34% |
10.00% |
4.49% |
1.98% |
0.62% |
0.19% |
| 8 |
|
Iowa St |
52.66% |
12.11% |
5.75% |
2.69% |
0.91% |
0.29% |
| 16 |
|
W Kentucky |
2.30% |
0.28% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 1 |
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Kentucky |
97.70% |
77.62% |
59.03% |
44.54% |
28.25% |
17.50% |
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